2025 El Nino Or La Nina Forecast. Friederike otto, who leads world weather attribution group, says the la niña predictions mean 2025 might be cooler than 2024 but argues this is really irrelevant if. La niña refers to a cooling of the.
The metrics used to determine if we are in an el niño or la niña (or somewhere in between) have been close—but not quite at the la niña threshold—for much of the time over. Current oceanic and atmospheric patterns indicate a 59% chance of la niña conditions forming between november 2024 and january 2025, persisting through february.